Analysis

• 
  Analysis

  2023-08-16

  Afghans lose decades of progress in just two years

  Economic growth, access to education and political freedom that Afghans worked to achieve are now essentially gone.

• 
  Analysis

  2023-08-09

  Russia fails to deliver Su-35s to Iran, triggering speculation over health of alliance

  Amid the commotion surrounding the delivery of Su-35s, it became clear in July that the long-awaited fighters would not arrive, with neither government offering an explanation.

• 
  Analysis

  2023-07-14

  Africans continue to endure consequences of Russian war after mediation fails

  Africa continues to suffer greatly from high prices of cereal and fertilisers, and following a failed mediation effort by African leaders to end Ukraine war, nothing looks likely to change.

• 
  Analysis

  2023-07-12

  Wagner's failed rebellion exacerbates national security fault lines in Russia

  The conflict of interests between Russia's elites will ultimately lead to the complete collapse of the Russian regime, observers are predicting. The current troubles are 'just the beginning'.

• 
  Analysis

  2023-06-22

  After al-Zawahiri demise, al-Qaeda may shift nexus to Yemen

  Al-Qaeda might move its power base to Yemen, where its Iran-based de facto leader has influence and the group collaborates with the Houthis.

• 
  Analysis

  2023-05-30

  Fears of civil war loom as Kremlin factions battle each other for influence, resources

  Amid the failing military campaign in Ukraine, Russian President Vladimir Putin's entourage has become embroiled in internal squabbles, and the prospect of civil violence is now a reality.

• 
  Analysis

  2023-05-16

  Obstacles litter road to countries' full normalisation with Syria

  With the regime's deep involvement in the drug trade, the presence of Iran and Russia-backed militias inside Syria, and an unresolved refugee crisis, talk of normailisation appears premature.

• 
  Analysis

  2023-05-10

  Naval decay: kleptocracy turns Russian navy into dangerous joke

  Money goes into the pockets of corrupt contractors and Kremlin officials, leaving ships of Russia's allegedly vaunted navy unable to fight or sail, oftentimes with deadly consequences.

• 
  Analysis

  2023-03-31

  In Middle East and beyond, Iranian drones threaten security, stability

  Iran's manufacture and export of UAV equipment and training to regional proxies and at least five governments pose an escalating threat.

• 
  Analysis

  2023-03-30

  Rank nepotism enables unconstitutional rise of Khamenei's son as de facto successor

  The Iranian leader's second son, Mojtaba Khamenei, has the unconstitutional carte blanche in decision-making, particularly within the IRGC.